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Semi-Professional Poker Player and Columnist for Card Player Magazine
Author of Pot-Limit Omaha Poker: The Big Play Strategy and
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Showdown at Ameristar: Pocket KK
February 23, 2004

I'll start by telling you how this one ended: KK

The Scene: Sunday night.

So we're at the final table of a the $150 buy-in Showme Showdown -- the first ever monthly No Limit Hold'em tournament at Ameristar in St. Louis. The format was a freezeout -- no re-buys. The field was limited to 100 players at 10 tables (buy-ins sold out two weeks ago, on the second registration day), and the last man left at each of the 10 tables made the final table. So basically, I had to win a 10-player tournament to make the final table and be in-the-money.

1st place pays $5000 and a seat at the yearly tournament of champions at the Kansas City casino. The rest of the pay schedule:

2nd: $2500
3rd: $1500
4th: $1000
5th: $750
6th - 10th: $250

The Hand
It's the second round around the table. We all started with $1000 in chips. The blinds are $5 and $10, and I'm dealt KK in 8th position, second from the dealer button.

Now I had decided on playing tight early in the game as I should, and did so for the first 10 hands. On the first hand of the final table, I threw away J-10 offsuit from 8th position (where I started) rather than cold call a small (to $20) early position raise. A few hands later, I also threw away A-J offsuit under the gun.

I had played two hands thus far -- 8-7 offsuit from the small blind (calling the big blind with no other callers) which I checked and folded when the flop missed, and K-J offsuit from one off the button (the previous hand) with no prior callers. I raised to $30 on that hand, got a caller (the button), and took the hand with a $100 bluff bet on fourth street with four smaller cards on the table.

Anyway, back to the hand in question.

In third position, the player opened the pre-flop betting by raising to $35, and got a caller in front of me. This is perfect. I've got a hand and there's already money in the pot. Now, how do I play it?

Do I call the raise hoping to trap them for bigger money later in the hand? Do I raise big and try to take the hand right there? Or do I raise somewhere in between hoping that maybe I get re-raised so that I can move all-in on them?

I opted for the latter. I re-raised to $100.

The Problem
Two seats behind me and with a slightly larger stack, the player on the button -- a regular $20/$40 limit player in a Michigan sweatshirt who, from what I've heard, thinks he's really good at this game -- re-raised to $300. The two players in front of me folded, but now I'm in a bind. I got what I wanted -- sort of.

Here's the problem: "The third raise is 99.5% pure Aces."

Not four hours earlier, I was flipping through T.J. Cloutier's book on No Limit Hold'em when I came across that line again. A little over a month ago, James McManus had enlightened me the first time when he referenced that line in Positively Fifth Street.

Well that was the third raise, so it's pretty easy to throw away my Kings, call it a $100 loss, and wait for another opportunity, right?

Maybe.

Earlier, on the second hand of the final table, I saw the original raiser raise under the gun pre-flop with Q-10 offsuit. The guy who called him (the same guy who called the raise this time) called with Q-10 offsuit on that same hand.

So if the guy is willing to raise with a bad hand, does his raise on this hand really count as the first raise? If not, then is the $300 raise the second raise or the third?

Oh, and then there's the other dumb way to look at it: If I had just called the first raise with my Kings as I had contemplated doing earlier, then Michigan dude's raise would only have been the second raise, right?

The Decision
As if you couldn't tell, I really wanted to play this hand. I had also kind of decided on re-raising all in when I raised to $100 the first time.

The upshot is that if I re-raise all in and he doesn't have AA and folds, I'll take his $300 and the $85 in dead money on the table, have about $1500 in chips and be in comfortable shape. If he calls, has QQ or worse and my hand draws out, I'll double up. If that happens, then I can pretty much blind my way into 5th place and the $750 minimum cash prize, as the other players knock each other out.

The final consideration is also related to the fact that 6th through 10th place all pay the same. If I don't make a move now, I could possibly find myself treading water for the next several rounds and get broken in 6th or 7th place, in which case it wouldn't matter if I get broken now or then.

The Outcome
I should have saved my chips for later.

For one thing, I'm a better player than at least half of those guys, and could have beaten them down the road. For another, Michigan dude called without hesitation, and we flipped our cards over. The flop came A-8-8, with the two of spades on the turn. I don't recall seeing the river card, and I don't think I need to tell you what he was holding.

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